Markets Open · No. 046 · Published 9:31 AM ET
Make sense of the market, every morning.
← Issue 045 Issue 046
01

Three Things to Know

1

Nasdaq hits fresh high as yields ease

The Nasdaq rose 0.81% while the 10-year yield fell to 4.47%. Cheaper borrowing costs keep lifting growth stocks — the market is still betting rate cuts are coming.

2

Bitcoin slips after a $216M sell-off

Strategy sold $216 million in Bitcoin, cutting short last week's rebound. When the biggest corporate holder sells, it reminds everyone how quickly crypto momentum can reverse.

3

Fed minutes land Wednesday under Warsh

The June FOMC minutes drop July 8 — the first under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Any hint of caution on cuts could rattle the tech rally fast.

02

Markets at a Glance

Composite Risk Score
5.0/10
Moderate · Stable Conditions
S&P 500+0.49%
7,520
5-day trend
NASDAQ+0.81%
26,041
5-day trend
10Y YIELD-0.45%
4.47%
5-day trend
DOW JONES
53,032
+0.25%
RUSSELL 2K
GOLD
OIL WTI
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03

World Markets

North America
S&P 5007,519.92+0.49%
Nasdaq26,040.89+0.81%
Dow Jones53,031.78+0.25%
10Y Yield4.47%-0.45%
Europe
FTSE 10010,646.95-0.30%
DAX25,706.63-0.28%
CAC 408,485.08-0.27%
Euro Stoxx 506,382.66-0.47%
Asia
Nikkei 22569,737.69-0.01%
Hang Seng23,616.32+1.14%
Shanghai4,041.24-0.06%
04

The Big Picture

Wall Street opened the week in a good mood. The S&P 500 rose 0.49% to a fresh 7,519, the Nasdaq led with a 0.81% gain, and the 10-year Treasury yield slipped to 4.47%. Falling yields mean borrowing gets cheaper, which flatters tech and growth stocks — hence the Nasdaq's lead. Europe leaned red across the board, and Hong Kong jumped 1.14%. The story here is calm: no drama, steady buying, and a bond market quietly betting rates ease from here.

The risk is that this calm is fragile. JPMorgan is warning of a summer swoon, and they have a point — markets are near record highs on thin summer volume, which makes any surprise hit harder. This week brings JOLTS, ISM services, and the June Fed minutes under new Chair Kevin Warsh. If those minutes read more cautious than traders expect, the rate-cut hopes propping up tech could wobble fast. Priced-for-perfection markets don't like being told to wait.

05

Story of the Day

Yahoo Finance

TWE puts Markaranka Vineyard in Australia on block

Treasury Wine Estates, the company behind Penfolds, is selling off one of its Australian vineyards. It's a small deal, but it signals that even big drinks makers are trimming assets as younger drinkers buy less wine. If you own a consumer-goods fund, this is the kind of slow demand shift that eats into brands you thought were bulletproof.

06

More Headlines

07

Coming Up This Week

TUE
7
10:00 AM ET
JOLTS Job Openings ★★
Watch for a drop; fewer openings means the labor market is cooling
10:00 AM ET
ISM Services PMI ★★
Services are most of the economy — a soft read signals slowdown
WED
8
2:00 PM ET
FOMC Meeting Minutes (Jun 16-17) ★★★
First peek inside Warsh's Fed; hawkish tone could sink cut hopes
THU
9
8:30 AM ET
Jobless Claims ★★
A jump here would be the first real crack in the jobs story
FRI
10
10:00 AM ET
Consumer Sentiment (UMich, prelim) ★★
Gauges whether shoppers still feel like spending into summer
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