Markets Open · No. 058 · Published 9:31 AM ET
Make sense of the market, every morning.
← Issue 057 Issue 058
01

Three Things to Know

1

Alphabet and Tesla report after the close

Two of the market's heaviest names drop earnings tonight. Investors care less about profit and more about whether massive AI spending is starting to pay off.

2

GE Vernova rose its outlook — and still fell

AI-driven orders surged but the wind business dragged, and the stock dropped anyway. The lesson: strong AI demand won't save a stock if the rest of the business stumbles.

3

Gold and oil both jumped while stocks slipped

Gold rose 1.55% and oil 1.73% as stocks eased. Money is quietly moving toward safety and betting energy supply stays tight.

02

Markets at a Glance

Composite Risk Score
5.0/10
Moderate · Stable Conditions
S&P 500-0.27%
7,489
5-day trend
NASDAQ-0.60%
25,681
5-day trend
10Y YIELD+0.30%
4.64%
5-day trend
VIX+1.82%
17.36
5-day trend
DOW JONES
52,162
-0.12%
RUSSELL 2K
GOLD
4,134
+1.55%
OIL WTI
86.38
+1.73%
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03

World Markets

North America
S&P 5007,489.18-0.27%
Nasdaq25,681.32-0.60%
Dow Jones52,162.46-0.12%
Oil (WTI)86.38+1.73%
Gold4,134.30+1.55%
10Y Yield4.64%+0.30%
VIX17.36+1.82%
USD Index101.11-0.07%
Europe
FTSE 10010,744.30+1.50%
DAX25,165.64+0.62%
CAC 408,453.73+1.08%
Euro Stoxx 506,311.61+0.41%
Asia
Nikkei 22566,115.60-0.18%
Hang Seng24,892.66-0.95%
Shanghai3,867.03+0.07%
04

The Big Picture

Stocks drifted lower before the day's real event: earnings from Alphabet and Tesla after the close. The S&P slipped 0.27% and the Nasdaq 0.60%, a quiet pullback while everyone waits. This is the pattern with big tech earnings — traders sit on their hands until the numbers land, because two companies this size can swing the whole index. Gold jumped 1.55% and oil rose 1.73%, both signs that money is looking for safety and betting on tighter supply.

The thing to watch is AI spending. Alphabet and Tesla both pour billions into it, and investors have stopped clapping for big AI budgets — they want to see the payoff. GE Vernova raised its revenue outlook on surging AI-driven orders and the stock still fell, because its wind business dragged. That's the mood right now: strong AI demand isn't enough if the rest of the business wobbles. Tonight's reports will test whether the AI trade still has legs.

05

Story of the Day

Yahoo Finance

Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slide with Alphabet, Tesla earnings on deck

Alphabet (Google's parent) and Tesla report earnings tonight, and both are giant pieces of the index most people own through their 401(k). If either disappoints — especially on how much they're spending on AI versus what they're earning back — it can drag the whole market down the next day. Everyone traded cautiously today because nobody wants to guess wrong ahead of the numbers.

06

More Headlines

07

Coming Up This Week

WED
22
GOOGL Earnings ★★★
All eyes on AI spending versus payoff; a miss drags the whole index
TSLA Earnings ★★★
Deliveries and margins in focus; the stock swings hard either way
THU
23
8:30 AM ET
Jobless Claims ★★
Watch for any uptick — first crack in the labor story
MON
27
8:30 AM ET
Durable Goods Orders ★★
A read on whether businesses are still willing to spend big
TUE
28
10:00 AM ET
Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) ★★
Key test of whether shoppers are getting nervous
FOMC Meeting Begins ★★
Warsh's Fed sits down; the rate call lands tomorrow
WED
29
MSFT Earnings ★★★
Cloud and AI growth will set the tone for the whole tech sector
META Earnings ★★★
Ad revenue versus AI costs — the same tension in a different name
2:00 PM ET
FOMC Rate Decision ★★★
Warsh's first big call; any surprise moves everything
2:30 PM ET
FOMC Press Conference ★★★
Warsh's words will matter more than the decision itself
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Hi, I'm Bogdan. I discovered the stock market in 2023 through a friend — and since then, barely a day goes by without me reading something about the economy or the markets. That curiosity is what built this.

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