Markets Open · No. 059 · Published 9:31 AM ET
Make sense of the market, every morning.
← Issue 058 Issue 059
01

Three Things to Know

1

Alphabet and Tesla earnings sink the Nasdaq

Both disappointed and dragged the Nasdaq down 1.85%. The market is now doubting whether massive AI spending is actually turning into profit.

2

Oil spikes 4.5% as Mideast fighting spreads

WTI hit $91 a barrel. Higher fuel already forced American Airlines to cut its 2026 earnings outlook, and pricier energy makes the Fed's inflation fight harder.

3

Fear gauge jumps 16%

The VIX rose to 19.29 in a single session. Investors are paying up for protection, a sign nerves are building ahead of next week's Fed meeting and mega-cap earnings.

02

Markets at a Glance

Composite Risk Score
6.3/10
Elevated · Proceed with Caution
S&P 500-1.19%
7,410
5-day trend
NASDAQ-1.85%
25,215
5-day trend
10Y YIELD+1.16%
4.71%
5-day trend
VIX+15.93%
19.29
5-day trend
DOW JONES
51,571
-1.24%
RUSSELL 2K
GOLD
4,053
-2.27%
OIL WTI
90.75
+4.51%
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03

World Markets

North America
S&P 5007,409.62-1.19%
Nasdaq25,214.88-1.85%
Dow Jones51,570.66-1.24%
Oil (WTI)90.75+4.51%
Gold4,052.80-2.27%
10Y Yield4.71%+1.16%
VIX19.29+15.93%
USD Index101.44+0.30%
Europe
FTSE 10010,618.66-0.92%
DAX24,794.89-1.43%
CAC 408,291.63-1.73%
Euro Stoxx 506,209.71-1.70%
Asia
Nikkei 22566,422.60+0.46%
Hang Seng25,210.81+1.28%
Shanghai3,876.78+0.25%
04

The Big Picture

Stocks fell hard across the board. The Nasdaq dropped 1.85% after Alphabet and Tesla disappointed on earnings, and the whole market started asking an uncomfortable question: is all this AI spending actually paying off? At the same time oil jumped 4.51% as Middle East attacks widened. That combination — weaker tech and pricier energy — spooked investors. The VIX, Wall Street's fear gauge, spiked nearly 16%. This wasn't a gentle drift lower. It was a nervous day.

The real risk is that two problems are hitting at once. AI capex is enormous, and Alphabet and Tesla just reminded everyone the returns aren't guaranteed. Meanwhile oil at $91 pushes up costs for airlines, shippers, and eventually shoppers — American Airlines already cut its outlook on fuel. If energy stays high, it complicates the Fed's job right before next week's meeting. Kevin Warsh's team wants inflation cooling, not climbing. Watch oil and next week's mega-cap earnings closely.

05

Story of the Day

Yahoo Finance

These high-flying tech stocks are down 60% — here's how to shop the sell-off: One Big Investment Idea

Some tech stocks that soared are now down 60%, and the pitch is to buy the dip. But a stock being cheaper than it was doesn't make it a bargain — many high-flyers fell because the business actually got worse, not because the market panicked. Before you 'shop the sell-off,' figure out whether the company is broken or just briefly out of favor.

06

More Headlines

07

Coming Up This Week

THU
23
8:30 AM ET
Jobless Claims ★★
Watch for any uptick — first crack in the labor story
MON
27
8:30 AM ET
Durable Goods Orders ★★
Gauge of whether businesses are still willing to spend big
TUE
28
10:00 AM ET
Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) ★★
Pricey oil could dent it; a soft read pressures retail
FOMC Meeting Begins ★★
Warsh's Fed sits down with oil-driven inflation back in the picture
WED
29
MSFT Earnings ★★★
Cloud and AI numbers will show if the spending pays off
META Earnings ★★★
After Alphabet's stumble, ad growth and AI costs are under the microscope
2:00 PM ET
FOMC Rate Decision ★★★
The call everyone's watching — any hint on cuts moves everything
2:30 PM ET
FOMC Press Conference ★★★
Warsh's tone matters as much as the decision itself
THU
30
AAPL Earnings ★★★
iPhone demand and margins tell you where the consumer stands
AMZN Earnings ★★★
Cloud growth and retail spending in one report
8:30 AM ET
PCE (Personal Income & Outlays) ★★★
The Fed's favorite inflation gauge — a hot number stings
8:30 AM ET
GDP (Q2 2026 Advance Estimate) ★★★
First look at whether the economy is still growing
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