The S&P moved just 0.08%. Nobody wants to commit before the Fed decides rates Wednesday and four of the biggest tech companies report earnings.
A real move down. Cheaper crude eases inflation and helps consumers, and it hands Warsh's Fed a bit more breathing room next week.
The Nikkei fell 2.73% and Chinese stocks dropped over 1%, but Germany's DAX rose 0.66%. The global mood is far from uniform.
U.S. stocks barely moved. The S&P edged up, the Nasdaq slipped, and the Dow did the heavy lifting with a 0.21% gain. This is a market holding its breath. Traders don't want to make big bets ahead of next week, which brings a Fed decision and earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon. Europe was the bright spot, with Germany's DAX up 0.66%. Asia was ugly — Japan's Nikkei dropped 2.73% and Chinese stocks fell too.
Oil is the story worth watching. WTI dropped 2.26% to $90, a real move that hints at softer demand or easier supply. Cheaper oil helps consumers and cools inflation, which gives the Fed room to breathe. The 10-year Treasury yield ticked down to 4.68%, a small sign that bond investors expect Warsh's Fed to stay patient. Next week's payoff is huge and the risk is simple: if Big Tech earnings disappoint, this calm market has a long way to fall.
The U.S. and allies just endorsed 'open-source' AI — software anyone can inspect, use, and build on for free — at a summit in China. That's a shift, because it favors sharing over locked-down corporate models. For everyday investors, it means the AI money may spread beyond a handful of giants like Nvidia and Microsoft to smaller companies and startups that build on free tools.
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